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Anyone, no matter what age or
state of health, may need long term care (LTC) services at some
point in his or her life. Yet 72 percent of Americans say they
are unable to pay for LTC without outside help.(1)
For most, that help will come only after they have exhausted
their personal assets and are forced onto welfare.
Long term care insurance is a
sensible and compassionate way to meet the nation's long term
care needs. It can help protect Americans from financial ruin
as they grow older and ease the fiscal burden on state and federal
governments. Today, our nation's long term care financing system
steers people toward impoverishment and reliance on Medicaid,
a government welfare program. In the next century, Medicaid will
not withstand the demographic tidal wave of aging baby boomers.
Proposed cuts in Medicaid will present tremendous problems for
the nation unless there is a fundamental shift to a system that
relies more heavily on private ltc insurance.
When asked, most Americans agree.
According to a recent survey conducted by Luntz Research Companies
for the American Health Care Association (AHCA), 76 percent of
Americans said they want the government to shift from the current
Medicaid financing program to one rooted in private LTC insurance.(2) |
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However, that survey also found that few Americans understand
what LTC options exist and, as a result, few are taking adequate
steps to prepare for the LTC needs they may face in the future.
That's understandable among today's younger population, but it
creates a serious problem for older Americans. The Luntz survey
found that only one in three are financially prepared for the
possibility that they may need LTC.
MYTH #1: I Will Never
Need Long Term Care.
A poll by The Gallup Organization
shows that 76 percent of Americans believe they will never have
the need for a nursing home, an assisted living program, home
and community-based care, or any other type of LTC service.(3) But the fact is two out of five Americans
will need nursing home care at some point in their lives.(4) Further, a 1995 Harvard/Louis Harris
survey found that one in five Americans over age 50 is at risk
of needing long term care services during the next 12 months.(5) According to the U.S. Census Bureau,
the over-85 population is the fastest growing segment of the
U.S. population, and one out of four people in that age group
lives in a nursing home. Approximately 75 percent of nursing
home residents are women. AHCA projects that the number of elderly
living in nursing homes will increase 58 percent by 2020.
Most who do need nursing home
care will require an extended stay. A full 55 percent of those
who enter nursing homes will stay at least one year; 21 percent
will remain five years or longer.(6)
LTC services are a bargain compared
to hospital care, where consumers paid an estimated average of
about $900 for a one-day stay in 1993.(7)
But sustained use of LTC can take a financial toll. It costs,
for example, an average of $38,000 a year (or $105 a day) to
live in a nursing home.(8) An extended
stay can run into the hundreds of thousands of dollars.
Failure to prepare for the cost
of a nursing facility stay or other LTC is the primary cause
of impoverishment among the elderly. The average American man
can expect to spend $56,895 on LTC. The average woman will spend
$124,370. Private health insurance policies offer limited, if
any, coverage for LTC services. As a result, it can take only
months -- or mere weeks -- from the time a person needs LTC until
they are forced onto Medicaid by the depletion of personal resources.(9)
Expected Lifetime LTC Costs by Age and Gender,
1995
|
Age |
Males |
Females |
|
55 to 64 |
$66,849 |
$157,039 |
|
65 to 69 |
$56,895 |
$124,370 |
|
70 to 74 |
$52,421 |
$107,555 |
|
75 to 79 |
$49,594 |
$96,044 |
|
80+ |
$48,145 |
$86,645 |
|
Average (Age 67) |
$56,895 |
$124,370 |
|
|
|
Source: LifePlans Inc. Long Term
Care Utilization Model
In 1994, approximately 7.3 million
elderly Americans needed LTC services. Experts predict this number
will jump to nearly 9 million by the turn of the century. With
the baby boom generation aging, estimates are that the of number
people needing LTC services will increase to between 10 and 14
million by 2020, and 14 to 24 million in 2060.(10)
Myth #2: If I Do Need
Long Term Care, Medicare Or My Health Insurance Will Pay For
It.
Studies show that most Americans
fail to prepare for the costs of LTC because they believe Medicare
or their own health insurance plans will pay the bills, but the
facts show otherwise.(11) According
to Health Care Financing Administration data, two out of three
nursing home residents -- about one million people -- now rely
on the Medicaid program to pay for their care.
Medicare covers post-hospital
skilled nursing and rehabilitation care for a maximum of 100
days with each illness. For the first 20 days, Medicare pays
the full cost of a patient's care, but for the next 80 days patients
must assume a substantial co-insurance payment. In 1996, for
example, the patient's co-insurance payment totalled $92 per
day. For a 100-day stay, the patient's out-of-pocket co-insurance
costs alone would total $7,360.
Unfortunately, most people do
not realize they must finance their LTC out of savings or assets
until they are actually faced with the need for LTC. Because
most people aren't financially prepared for the expense of LTC,
they must turn to Medicaid for help. But Medicaid covers LTC
only after a person is impoverished. Medicaid is welfare and
welfare limits the number of choices people can make about their
care. Despite popular belief, general health insurance plans
and Medigap plans do not cover LTC.
For 1994, the Health Care Financing
Administration reports that the nation spent $74.2 billion on
nursing home care. Medicaid financed 51.6 percent, Medicare paid
for 10.6 percent, out-of-pocket payments comprised 31.5 percent,
and 3.8 percent came from other sources. Taxpayers are shouldering
a heavy burden. Accounting for only 2.4 percent of nursing home
costs in 1994, private insurance is clearly under-utilized as
a payment source.(12)
Given efforts by Congress and
the Administration to reduce Medicaid expenditures, it is doubtful
that Medicaid will be able to sustain the level of support in
paying for LTC, especially since our nation's population is rapidly
aging. However, research finds that Medicaid expenditures would
be reduced by $7,945 to $15,519 for every nursing home entrant
who had a LTC insurance policy.(13)
Myth #3: I Cannot Afford
Long Term Care Insurance.
As more and more elderly Americans
understand the risks associated with the need for and the cost
of LTC, they are choosing to protect themselves with LTC insurance.
Some interest groups -- vocal
advocates for total government funding of the LTC system -- claim
that most Americans cannot afford LTC insurance. However, the
data show that a substantial number of recent purchasers of LTC
insurance fall squarely into the middle class.
A study released by the Health
Insurance Association of America (HIAA) in 1995 found a majority
of LTC insurance purchasers (61 percent) have annual incomes
of less than $35,000, and about one-third have assets valued
at less than $30,000.(14)
The authors of the study conclude:
"Thus, this insurance does represent a viable financing
option for a growing number of retiring middle-class elders."
(15)
Certainly, LTC insurance is affordable
when balanced against the astronomical costs incurred by a person
who has no financial protection and needs care. The HIAA reports
that the typical policy purchased by people age 65:(16)
- pays an average $86 dollar daily
nursing home benefit
- pays an average $80 dollar daily
home care benefit
- covers 5.1 years of nursing
home care
- costs an average of $93 per
month
That same study reports that
purchasing LTC insurance at age 50 or younger can cut a monthly
premium by half or more.
A study published in Health
Affairs found that many elderly, middle-class Americans are
willing to spend an average $70 monthly on Medigap insurance.(17)
If most middle-class Americans
can afford Medigap insurance, then they can afford LTC insurance
at an average cost of $93 per month. LTC insurance is a better
bargain than Medigap insurance, particularly when purchased at
age 50 or younger.
The need for LTC is a risk worth
insuring against:
- The risk of catastrophic expenditures
is not inconsequential -- 45 percent of those needing LTC can
expect expenditures greater than $10,000.(18)
- The risk is largely unpredictable
early on because the kinds of conditions that frequently lead
to a need for LTC often are unforeseeable in youth (e.g., the
onset of dementia or stroke).
- Those who need LTC rarely can
afford to pay for it out of current income and assets. For example,
in 1991, elderly women living alone had a median income of $9,740
-- about one-third the average annual cost of nursing home care
at that time.
In addition, if the risks and
costs of LTC are spread across a wider population, the costs
for any one "unlucky" individual are far more affordable.(19)
The following tables detail the
average annual costs of typical LTC policies, and provide a profile
of those who purchase them.
Average Annual Premiums for Leading Individual
and Group Association Long-Term Care Sellers in 1994*
Coverage Amount: $80/40 a day nursing home/home health
care
|
Age |
Base Plan |
With Lifetime 5% Compounded Inflation Protection Only |
With Nonforfeiture Benefit (NFB) Only |
With NFB and Lifetime 5% Compounded Inflation Protection |
|
|
|
|
50 |
$325 |
$659 |
$448 |
$924 |
|
|
|
|
65 |
$855 |
$1,538 |
$1,177 |
$2,186 |
|
|
|
|
79 |
$3,641 |
$5,095 |
$4,983 |
$7,077 |
|
|
|
Coverage Amount: $100/50 a day nursing home/home health care
|
Age |
Base Plan |
With Lifetime 5% Compounded Inflation Protection Only |
With Nonforfeiture Benefit (NFB) Only |
With NFB and Lifetime 5% Compounded Inflation Protection |
|
50 |
$397 |
$809 |
$535 |
$1,118 |
|
65 |
$1,058 |
$1,950 |
$1,419 |
$2,607 |
|
79 |
$4,512 |
$6,314 |
$5,982 |
$8,492 |
*Generally, for a 20-month elimination
period and four years of coverage. Nonforfeiture premium data
not available for one insurer.
Source: Health Insurance Association of America LTC Market Survey,
1995
Key Policy Design Parameters Chosen by Long-Term
Care Insurance Purchasers by Level of Income, 1994
|
Level of Income |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Policy Features |
<$20,000 |
20,000 to
$34,999 |
35,000 to
$49,999 |
50,000
and Over |
Nursing home
benefit amount
average
Up to $40
$41 to $50
$51 to $70
$71 to $90
$90 and over |
$77
6%
11%
27%
28%
28% |
$81
3%
12%
26%
23%
37% |
$85
3%
5%
26%
25%
40% |
$92
2%
9%
15%
16%
58% |
Home care
benefit amount
Average
Up to $40
$41 to $50
$51 to $70
$71 to $90
$90 and over |
$75
10%
18%
22%
21%
29% |
$75
12%
19%
18%
19%
32% |
$77
9%
14%
24%
21%
32% |
$78
7%
27%
15%
13%
38% |
Proportion choosing
inflation protection |
20% |
31% |
40% |
45% |
Average elimination
period |
40 days |
48 days |
61 days |
65 days |
Proportion choosing
home care |
63% |
61% |
63% |
64% |
|
Average annual premium
Monthly premiums
Up to $50
$51 to $75
$76 to $100
$101 to $125
$126 to $150
$151 and over |
$1,351
18%
20%
17%
10%
10%
25%
|
$1,463
17%
16%
19%
11%
11%
26%
|
$1,390
14%
19%
18%
14%
13%
22%
|
$1,554
14%
21%
17%
10%
9%
29%
|
a. Refers to average nursing home duration
b. Lifetime
coverage is evaluated as 10 years of coverage
SOURCE: LifePlans, Inc., analysis of 2,246 linked surveys and
policy design information, 1994.
Myth #4: Long Term Care
Insurance Is Not A Good Value.
Advocates of government funding
for LTC claim that LTC insurance policies are not worth the cost
of their premiums. This argument begs the following questions:
- Is the cost of a LTC insurance
policy worth freedom of choice in regard to care?
- Is the cost worth the freedom
from personal debt?
- Is the cost worth knowing that
my family will not be saddled with the cost of my care?
LTC insurance purchasers list
a wide variety of reasons for purchasing LTC insurance. The HIAA
survey showed that the top reason was "to avoid depending
on others for care and to preserve my independence." (20)
Reasons Selected as "Very Important"
by LTC Insurance Purchasers, 1994*
|
To avoid depending on others for care and to reserve my independence |
69% |
|
To enable me to choose the LTC services that I want if I ever
need them |
59% |
|
To protect my family's standard of living if I ever need LTC
services |
59% |
|
To protect my assets |
67% |
|
To guarantee that I will be able to afford needed LTC services |
66% |
|
To avoid welfare |
59% |
|
To have an estate for my heirs |
43% |
|
The government will not cover the care I may need in the future |
54% |
*Percentage of people who listed
each reason for purchasing LTC insurance as "very important."
The HIAA survey makes it clear.
A majority of Americans (59 percent) believe LTC insurance is
worth the alternative: reliance on government.
The "worth" of LTC
insurance can be measured on more than an individual level. More
and more employers are beginning to realize the value of offering
LTC insurance plans to their employees with an option for relatives
to join. The "sandwich generation" -- adults caring
for both young children and elderly parents -- often is stretched
to the limit. Such pressure can affect performance in the workplace,
resulting in lost productivity.
An article in Business & Health
magazine notes the benefits employers receive when they offer
LTC insurance to workers:
"For employers, the incentives
for offering LTC insurance are employee satisfaction and productivity.
Connecticut Community Care Inc., a state-licensed, private, non-profit
care management agency based in Bristol, estimates that corporations
lost an average of $220,000 a year per 500 employees as a result
of their employees' care giving responsibilities. This excludes
the costs of personal use of company telephones, increased payouts
of health care benefits due to caregivers' stress, and productivity
losses."(21) LTC insurance
is regulated to ensure the integrity of the products offered.
According to a recent HIAA survey analysis 50 states have adopted
laws and regulations affecting LTC insurance.
Additional Facts About
LTC Insurance(22)
- By the end of 1994, more than
3.8 million people had purchased LTC insurance policies, compared
to 815,000 by December 1987. From 1987 to 1994, LTC insurance
sales grew at an annual average rate of 25 percent.
- In 1994, 121 companies sold
long term care insurance.
- By the end of 1994, 1,028 employers
were offering LTC insurance plans to their employees. The number
of small firms (1 to 500 employees) providing long term care
insurance increased from 58 in 1990 to 567 in 1994
. Of the 1,028 employer-sponsored
plans, at least 432 employers paid all or part of the employee
premium.
- Policies sold offered a wide
range of benefit options and policy design flexibility at stable
and affordable premiums. An in-depth analysis by HIAA of the
12 top sellers (responsible for 80 percent of all individual
and group association policies sold in 1994) found:
- All offered nursing home, home
health care, and adult day care. Eleven plans also offered alternate
care and respite care benefits. Hospice care was covered by 10
insurers.
- None of the top sellers used
a "medical necessity only" benefit trigger.
- All plans are guaranteed renewable,
have a 30-day free-look period, have a preexisting condition
limitation of less than six months, cover Alzheimer's disease,
sell to persons over age 80, and offer an unlimited lifetime
nursing home maximum.
- All plans conform to the National
Association of Insurance Commissioners' Model Act and Regulation
inflation protection.
- All plans offer an optional
non-forfeiture benefit to policyholders.
Conclusions
The current LTC financing system
is bankrupting families and burdening taxpayers. Congress and
the Administration are debating reduced government funding for
Medicare and Medicaid. As the baby boom generation ages and the
number of elderly Americans doubles, it is important to examine
whether taxpayers can afford the tab for LTC. The cost of LTC
is straining public budgets today. That pressure will increase
as we enter the 21st century.
The LTC financing system can
be reformed through a public policy that promotes the notion
that people who can pay for their own care should pay for their
own care. The 1995 Luntz survey found that most Americans support
that concept. A full 86 percent said it made sense to develop
a policy that encourages people to buy LTC insurance and a full
87 percent agreed that government assistance should be provided
for those who are "genuinely destitute."(23)
A sound reform plan would encourage
private insurance to absorb a much greater share -- about 25
percent -- of our nation's LTC bill. Older Americans who have
worked and paid taxes all their lives should not be forced onto
welfare simply for needing LTC.
People who prepare for the cost
of LTC can be secure in the knowledge that they have greater
freedom to choose their care and that their assets (and the assets
of spouses/families) are more secure.
SOURCES
(1) American Opinions on Reforming
Medicaid: A national public opinion survey conducted by Luntz
Research Companies. Nationwide survey conducted August 1-6, 1995;
3.
(2) American
Opinions on Reforming Medicaid.
(3) Public
Attitudes on Long Term Care: "The EBRI Poll": A
National Public Opinion Survey Conducted by The Gallup Organization,
Inc. Released August 1993; 15.
(4) Kemper,
Peter, and Christopher M. Murtaugh. "Lifetime Use of Nursing
Home Care." New England Journal of Medicine 1991;
324(9):595.
(5) Long
Term Care Awareness Survey: A national public opinion survey
conducted by the Harvard School of Public Health and Louis Harris
& Associates. Released January 6, 1996; 2.
(6) New
England Journal of Medicine 1991; 324(9):595.
(7) U.S.
Bureau of the Census, Statistical Abstract of the United States:
1995.
(8) American
Health Care Association.
(9) Wooldridge,
Wilfred E. "Why Nursing Home Insurance?" Missouri
Medicine October 1991; 88(10):694.
(10) U.S.
General Accounting Office Report to Congressional Requesters.
Long-Term Care:Diverse, Growing Population Includes Millions
of Americans of all Ages. 1994: 4.
(11) Public
Attitudes, 17.
(12) Health
Care Financing Administration. Health Care Financing Review.
Summer 1995:Volume 16, Number 4.
(13) Cohen,
Marc A., Nada Kumar, and Stanley S. Wallack. "Long-Term
Care Insurance And Medicaid." Data Watch Fall, 1994;134.
(14) Health
Insurance Association of America. Who Buys Long-Term Care
Insurance?:1994-95 Profiles and Innovations in a Dynamic Market.
1995; 16.
(15) Ibid;
18
(16) Ibid;
27
(17) Cohen,
Mark A., Nanda Kumar, and Stanley S. Wallack. "Who Buys
Long Term Care Insurance?" Health Affairs Spring
1992; 11(1):211.
(18) Lewin-VHI,
inc. Long Term Care: Background Facts on Use and Financing
June 1993; 23.
(19) Ibid;
23
(20) Health
Insurance Association of America. Who Buys Long-Term Care
Insurance?:1994-95 Profiles and Innovations in a Dynamic Market.
1995; 29.
(21) Tenser,
James. "Long Term Care Insurance: The Rx for a Graying America."
Business & Health Mid-March 1992;56.
(22) Health
Insurance Association of America. Policy & Research Findings:
"Long-term Care Insurance in 1994." March, 1996; 2.
(23) American
Health Care Association/Gallup Organization, March 1993.
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